opinions?
Turkey entering EU? yeah ok.
my quick rant: lets talk about things that i think will NEVER happen. i believe turkey would become the only country to enter the EU that is not christian. thats number 1. number 2, we have the fact that it is extremely easy to enter Turkey, get a visa etc. 3. it is a direct link to the east. 4. cultural differences 5. the most powerful countries in the EU, or bilaterally connected to the EU, dont particularly like the east. (Switzerland, Germany etc.). 6. Turkey is still occupying like.. half of cyprus - cyprus is in the EU. do you really think one country occupying another one in the EU is going to be let in? 7. turkey has an extremely large population:
The population of Turkey stood at 72.5 million with a growth rate of 1.45% per annum, based on the 2009 census - wikipedia
The combined population of all 27 member states has been forecast at 501,259,840 as of January 2010.[9][5] - regarding the EU - wikipedia
Turkey will increase the population of the EU by almost 4/25. that is huge when you take into account all of the differences listed above.
the ONLY way turkey would be let in, would be for the overall financial gain of the the EU. after romania and bulgaria, the Euro tanked. combined with spain, greece and italy’s woes, the EU is getting spanked. So.. after letting in weak countries, we now have the possibility of Turkey, with its booming economy of:
GDP (PPP)2009 estimate - Total$880.061 billion[2] - Per capita$12,476.449[2] GDP (nominal)2009 estimate - Total$615.329 billion[2] - Per capita$8,723.406
i think we have proof that, should turkey join and adopt the euro, the EU’s economy should bounce back nicely. so now we have to ask, will the EU with its federalism, adjust itself culturally and racially, to fix their economy?
finally, is it really a sustainable business practice to a) keep with federalism, b) keep annexing willing countries to fix your organization?
ommegang asked
Capital, being inherently expansionary, will work its way across borders and cultural boundaries. So I think that you’re right in that Turkey is becoming more of a contender for EU membership, but it will ultimately only happen if Turkey neoliberalizes its economy and allows European capital into its borders- at least with the present arrangement of EU policy. Naturally, that will probably mean great things for the Turkish economy, but bad things for the Turkish people.